Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000323 0.000363 0.000405 0.000455 0.000511 0.000573 0.000647
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000255 0.000312 0.000379 0.000465 0.000573 0.000703 0.000875
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000277 0.000358 0.000470 0.000620 0.000818 0.001098
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000239 0.000325 0.000449 0.000627 0.000875 0.001250
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000220 0.000312 0.000452 0.000662 0.000971 0.001469
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000143 0.000212 0.000312 0.000471 0.000723 0.001112 0.001771
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000193 0.000294 0.000461 0.000736 0.001178 0.001966
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000173 0.000271 0.000439 0.000724 0.001203 0.002093
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000165 0.000266 0.000444 0.000759 0.001308 0.002373
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000162 0.000270 0.000465 0.000823 0.001472 0.002787
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000152 0.000259 0.000459 0.000838 0.001548 0.003044
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000146 0.000254 0.000462 0.000869 0.001658 0.003383
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000136 0.000243 0.000454 0.000880 0.001733 0.003672
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000131 0.000239 0.000460 0.000919 0.001873 0.004129
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000125 0.000235 0.000464 0.000955 0.002010 0.004609
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000115 0.000219 0.000443 0.000936 0.002026 0.004804
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000110 0.000215 0.000445 0.000967 0.002160 0.005311
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000110 0.000219 0.000465 0.001039 0.002399 0.006138
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000103 0.000209 0.000455 0.001042 0.002472 0.006537
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000095 0.000195 0.000433 0.001013 0.002460 0.006698
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000092 0.000193 0.000438 0.001051 0.002626 0.007403
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000092 0.000198 0.000459 0.001132 0.002917 0.008545
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000088 0.000192 0.000453 0.001143 0.003023 0.009137